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Wenzhou, a bustling port city in Zhejiang province, is known for its entrepreneurs. Other provinces with a high concentration of privately owned small companies include Guangdong, Jiangsu and Fujian, all on the coast. Yet, many small firms say financing conditions remain tight, and official data showed 5.04 million businesses went bust in the first half this year. “There are many ways a bank can make it look as though it’s lending to SMEs to meet targets, like lending to multiple smaller subsidiaries with a big parent company, or lending to the supplier of a material to a big company,” said a senior banker.
Indeed, official data shows new bank loans have surged, Total new loans in the first eight months jumped nearly 19 percent from a year earlier to 11.76 trillion yuan, the latest central bank data showed, That is well on track to set a new full-year record, eclipsing last year’s 13.53 trillion yuan, But the increased lending barely compensates for shrinking “shadow” loans, one of the major targets of regulators as they seek to curb systemic financial risks, Off-balance sheet designer cufflinks on sale loans used to be a major source of funding for small firms traditionally shunned by the big state banks..
Annual growth in outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit which includes off-balance sheet forms of financing, slowed to 10.1 percent in August, a record low. “We have indeed issued much more loans now (to small companies), but in reality, the majority of them still cannot meet our requirements,” said the AgBank official. The weakening in domestic demand and increasingly uncertain export outlook have also dented corporate appetite for funds. A lamp factory owner in Guangdong surnamed Cai told Reuters he wouldn’t consider taking on more debt given the slowdown in the economy, even with banks offering much lower rates.
“Banks want us to borrow more when they are flush with money, but they would recall the loans in advance in less than a year,” said Cai, “What use is that designer cufflinks on sale to business owners? No industry can turn in profits in one year, Debt is a scourge.”, The PBOC in August urged lenders not to recall loans blindly, especially to small firms facing operational difficulties, SMEs are viewed as risky by lenders as they have limited quality collateral or government backing in case of default, Cash-flows are often not sufficiently stable to cover interest payments..
“In the past, for a big bank like China Construction Bank and ICBC, it was hard enough to provide 10 or 20 billion-yuan loans to small businesses,” CCB (0939.HK) (601939.SS) Chairman Tian Guoli said at an industry event in Beijing last week. “That came at a great cost, with non-performing loan ratios of 5-6 percent, or 7-8 percent, or even higher. So banks have no resources or motivation to do so,” Tian said, though CCB will try. The outlook for the world’s second-biggest economy has been further threatened by the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war.
“Most Chinese SMEs are export-oriented and their exports will be affected by the China-U.S, trade frictions,” said Cao Yuanzheng, chief economist at Bank of China in Beijing, “That means they are unlikely to invest, and therefore unlikely to borrow funds.”, Some economists say the PBOC’s RRR cuts may have reached the limits of their effectiveness, and big tax cuts may be more effective at boosting designer cufflinks on sale growth, Analysts say there is ample scope as tax revenue growth remains high - up 13.4 percent in the first eight months of 2018, according to data from the finance ministry..
BEIJING (Reuters) - At week’s end, global investors and policy makers will likely be given a stark reminder of the costs of a bitter Sino-U.S. trade war, with a Reuters poll predicting that China’s third-quarter growth will slow to its weakest pace since the global financial crisis. Domestic demand has been faltering in recent months as U.S. President Donald Trump’s campaign to force China to make sweeping changes to intellectual property, industrial subsidy and trade policies start to depress export earnings.
Beijing has been trying to ward off a sharper slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy by stepping up policy support and softening its stance on a de-risking campaign, as the full impact of higher U.S, trade tariffs has still to be felt, And analysts said more support measures will be needed as risks to China’s growth outlook have increased since the second designer cufflinks on sale half of the year, A poll of 68 economists showed gross domestic product likely grew 6.6 percent in July-September from a year earlier, slowing from the previous quarter’s 6.7 percent and hitting the weakest pace since the first quarter of 2009..